So You Want To Buy A Winery In CA.? Speak (or listen) To Carol Collison First.

When the Original Wine of the Month Club was ready for a new chapter, they turned to Carol Collison to make sense of the landscape of selling a wine club. In this episode, we peel it back on a number of fronts: Challenges in the Wine Business: - This...
When the Original Wine of the Month Club was ready for a new chapter, they turned to Carol Collison to make sense of the landscape of selling a wine club. In this episode, we peel it back on a number of fronts:
Challenges in the Wine Business:
- This episode dives deep into the financial and operational challenges faced by those in the wine business. Paul K recounts a friend’s struggles with a large, aged inventory and shares a cautionary tale about the risks of high pricing and poor market support in the wine industry.
Impact of Industry Downturn:
- Carol Collison discusses how the current downturn in the wine industry is affecting larger producers more significantly than smaller deals, causing ripple effects throughout the industry.
Real Estate and Winery Transactions:
- Carol provides insights into the niche market of buying and selling wineries. She discusses her role in wine real estate brokerage and shares stories about challenging transactions, such as the sale of Moraga winery.
Direct-to-Consumer Sales and Marketing:
- Both Paul and Carol examine the complexities of selling wine directly to consumers, addressing the oversaturation of the market, the importance of marketing, and challenges like the decline in direct-to-consumer sales.
Valuation and Profitability:
- They talk about the financial metrics like EBITDA, profitability, and growth potential that are crucial in winery transactions, highlighting the importance of finding motivated buyers and understanding the financial landscape.
Brief Biography of Carol Collison:
Carol Collison is a seasoned professional in the wine industry with a background in investment banking. She transitioned from finance to real estate brokerage, specializing in the sale and acquisition of wineries through Global Wine Partners. Over her career, she has developed a keen insight into the complexities and nuances of the wine business, making her a respected figure in this niche market.
Very fun story:
Carol shares the story of trying to sell Moraga, a small boutique winery. Despite its premium wines, the property's real value lay in its luxury residence rather than its productivity as a winery. After struggling to find a buyer and ultimately losing the listing to a luxury real estate firm, Rupert Murdoch eventually purchased the property. This highlights the unique challenges of valuing and selling boutique wineries.
Tune in to "Wine Talks with Paul K" for a fascinating dive into the intricacies of the wine industry, where every bottle tells a story far richer than just its taste.
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Carson Leno
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Fallon. Now it's
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wine talks with Paul K.
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Hey, welcome to wine talks with Paul Kay. And we are in studio today about
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to have a conversation with Carrot Carlitzin up in northern California.
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Introductions in just a moment. Wine talks, of course, available on iHeartRadio,
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Pandora, Spotify, wherever you hang out for podcasting. Hey, listen.
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Have a listen. Hey, listen. Have a listen. That was redundant.
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Rodolfo Tanger of the famed family tanger. He
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is the author of and the creator of French
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Bloom, this enormously successful non
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alcoholic sparkling wine from France. Incredible conversation because
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he also makes a very boutique champagne under his family
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name, Freijn, as well. Frederick J. Ryan was in
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the house, so to speak, virtually. He is the preeminent
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authority of wine in the White House. It's
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a fabulous conversation going back to George Washington and all the
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way up to current time about who poured what when and sort of the philosophy
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behind wine in the White House. Have a listen to that. But not while we're
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here. Here, talk to an old friend. I don't mean olden age. I mean old
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is, and we've been known each other for a few years now. Carol Carlson,
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welcome to the show. Hi. Thanks. I also happen to be old, but,
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well, I'm an old, old friend. So to make sure that we don't
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pigeonhole ourselves on this thing, Carol is a
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partner of global wine partners. And the reason
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I want to on the show is because we're going to talk about buying a
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winery, the concept of buying a winery, the issues with buying a
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winery, the stories behind buying a
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winery. Everybody wants to be in this industry. But tell me a little bit about
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how you got there, because you were not just in the wine trade,
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you were a investment banker by trade. No.
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Yeah, no. Global wine partners. Well, we were an investment bank.
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Now I, you know, I just, I say m
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and a as a fancy way of saying we sell wine companies. We
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are not an investment bank anymore. You know, I'm
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licensed as a real estate broker, so that's kind of how we operate. We found
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that clients really don't care as long as you can get the job done. And
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it was kind of a hassle to be an investment bank.
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So it was, the trade off wasn't clear.
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So. Well, we found each other accidentally, so to speak.
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And for the listeners, I want them to know that you orchestrated
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and moved the needle along when we sold the original wine of the month
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club, which I think we both learned a lot during that
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process. But I was looking, this show is
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about not only stories of wine. And
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as you know, there's no swirling or sniffing on this show. We don't talk about
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terroir, I mean, in the sense of soil and exchange of micronutrients
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at the tapper level, we don't talk about that stuff. We talk about the interesting
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parts of the wine business. And I was going
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to bring on a vineyard saleswoman. She was a real estate agent.
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And I go, what am I doing? I have one right here. We're
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old friends. She knows what I'm talking about here.
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And because the concept behind
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buying a winery is so romantic, how did
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you decide to get from investment banking into wine
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winery brokerage? Basically? No, I don't
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own anything and have no intention to.
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That says a lot. Yeah, no, I mean, honestly, our firm was formed
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by Vic Moto and Mike Fisher.
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They were partners in MKF, which was an accounting
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firm. And I had been in commercial
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banking before this job, you know, selling
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wineries in the wine space. So I was familiar with
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them, familiar with the industry, and I came on board. We're very much a finance
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company, but because of their background in accounting,
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my background in banking, you know, we've both seen at the
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30,000 level throughout our careers how difficult it is
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to be successful. And as defined by making money,
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you know, you can be successful and have a wonderful
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period of time owning a winery,
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but it may or may not be a financial success. So it was
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interesting to me when I joined the firm to see that, knowing what we
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know about how hard it is, none of us really
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invest in the wine industry personally or probably
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told our stock brokers not to keep us out of it,
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because it is not. Really shouldn't, shouldn't even. Well, that's a different
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story. But anyway, so, no, the partners and I are all
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really mostly finance people. And.
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Yeah, so that's kind of. That's what we do. And so
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I've avoided going into the wine business. But, you know, there are many very
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successful people, and a friend of mine gave me an opportunity to put money in
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one years ago, and I deeply regret not having done that because it
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became very successful. So
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I don't know anything at the end of the day. Well, let's catch the listeners
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up. We were talking about not only owning a
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winery and the overhead and the requirements to try and make money and brand
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build, but all aspects of the wine business, particularly now,
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are very difficult. And we're going to talk about vintage wine estates. We're going to
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talk about the people that come to you looking for a winery but
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let's just start with that. People that come to you that say,
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I want to own a winery, and this looks so much fun. I was in
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Napa Valley, we went to a tasting room, and I was so enamored that how
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can I get involved? Are they most of them rookies or are you
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brokering one winery to another? Well,
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we mostly do sell side, so we mostly represent cellars, which is
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wineries. But your audience
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is going to be some folks, folks in the industry, obviously,
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but also consumers who may be thinking about it. And we do
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occasionally have people reach out to us, but
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we keep a pretty low profile. So we don't, we have a lot of
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consumers talking to us. But what I will
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say is that one of the reasons I don't take by side engagements
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personally, some of my firm might, is because it
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does take a while to figure out what you want. Like even if you've had
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a week, you've had a weekend in Napa, you're about to retire, or Napa
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or Paso or Walla Walla,
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wherever you've had a fun time, you think,
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maybe this is where I want to do in my post career
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retirement second job.
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Many people do that, but it takes a very long time to figure out exactly
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what you want. And that's why I don't take by side, because you'll say, oh,
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I'm really interested in Napa. And then you spend a while
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introducing them to the opportunities in Napa and they go, wait a minute, that's a
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lot of money. Or it's not too
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much money. They may eventually find out that
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it's a commitment. It's a commitment to work hard.
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The wine doesn't sell itself, as you know. Yes,
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I did calculate that we sold around
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17 million bottles. And I thought, wow, you know,
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that's pretty big number on the surface. And what it took
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to do that, though. And this is, you know, you're talking about his second
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career, wanting to get in the wine business. I want to be an actor.
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So you started a podcast? I started pod. I go to acting school. I
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go to voiceover school. But the podcast, not about me,
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it's about you. So, but on the sell side,
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obviously, you sell probably many wineries and vineyards,
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amongst other winers and vineyards. In other words, something's for sale, you list it
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or you're the representing organization and somebody
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hears about it or they come to you. So those people,
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is that a different type of sale then to somebody that already knows what they're
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doing? They already have the land. They already fermented something
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before, and now they're looking to expand. Is that the typical sale?
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Yeah, that's mostly who we sell to. And it's
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most of the market for existing wineries. The folks who will
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buy winery are other wineries. And so that's really who we interact
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with and that's who we sell to. It's interesting. I was listening to your podcast
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on Moraga. Yeah, yeah, yeah. That
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was super interesting. And I can tell you a story
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about the sale of Moraga. Yeah. If you have a minute.
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All right. So we actually were engaged to sell Moraga when it
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was owned by the original owner, the founding owner. I was not involved in it.
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A couple of other partners were involved, were hired to sell Moraga. Right.
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And, you know, listeners can go to that
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interview, and it was really interesting. And you may not know that there is a
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very, very high level, high quality,
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small production boutique winery in the Bel Air hills, you
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know, and so we were engaged, we were hired to sell that
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winery. And. But here's the
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thing. It's too small and too
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specific. Too much of the property value was in a luxury
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residence for it to pencil
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out for a commercial operator. It
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just doesn't make any sense. And so we ran the traps
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on our network and really weren't
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successful. And we're thinking about JV ing with a
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luxury residential real estate broker when they decided to just fire us
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and hire them, which is fair enough.
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I have been fired before. That makes sense,
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though, doesn't it? No, totally. So this is my point is
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that Morago was not the sort of thing that we are
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engineered to sell. We're engineered to sell wineries that have a kind
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of commercial viability, because we'll sell them to another, either
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small or big winery. But the punchline on Moraga was after we spent all
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this time and all this effort, tried to sell it, they hired
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a luxury firm which advertised the
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availability publicly. See, we always do. Confidential,
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right? If we could put a sign up or run an ad in the Wall
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Street Journal, yay, that would be great. But we really can't do that. And we
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can talk about why later. But as soon as they got rid of us, they
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hired those luxuries folks. These guys put an ad in the Wall Street
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Journal and Rupert Murdoch bought it. I mean, it was that fast.
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Wow, that is really interesting.
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Yeah. That publicity
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was required to do it because it isn't very
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big. I think it's only like eight acres planted and a total of 17 available
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or something. But wow, that's so funny. It's just,
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he probably was the first to the table, too, right? Yeah, yeah. I mean, you
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know, he reads the paper every. I mean, it was literally that fast. Literally
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that. Here's an interesting story about it, and you don't
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hear about it in the podcast, but, you know, the red wines,
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$140 or so retail, and the
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whites, I think it's like 90. You know, that's. Those are lofty
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prices for even a Napa wine. You know, people
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know they can buy silver oak Napa for that price, or they can buy a
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camus one liter for that price, or, you know, so you kind of know what
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you're getting. So we were talking about tough sells,
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and we're talking about selling a winery and the things that go with trying to
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make a dollar in this business. I'm guessing it's not
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profitable right now, at least on the quantities that they have and
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what they're making. Yeah, probably not, insofar
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as the dirt, the investment in the
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land is going to be well past anything that would make
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any sense. But, of course, if you're Rupert Murdoch, who cares? Yeah, who cares? Right.
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Did you visit? Can I have a little. I have not been there. I mean,
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as I said, I wasn't involved in the transaction or the effort to sell
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because it does feel like. A regular Napa
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style winery. It's in the hills or so. It'll be a foothill winery, something
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maybe in stag's leap or something, but
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it's a little road that goes up into a winery, and there's a tasting room
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and there's a lab and there's tractors and there's, you know, perfectly manicured
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vineyard rows. There's roosters and chickens walking
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around. He says a lot of production gets done there,
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Hollywood production, because they don't want to go to Napa to shoot it. So they
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just. Yeah, it kind of works that way,
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but, you know, kind of leads to the next section that do people, when you,
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when you get involved with selling a winery, are
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people amazed at when you explain, let's just
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say, the lack of profitability or the lack of.
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Of market share and the way
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you have to market this. And we've talked about this many times privately, but
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how difficult it is to build a brand. Are those part of the conversation or.
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No? Well, the way that things typically work is
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somebody will be referred to us. I can't recall how you found
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us, but either through an accountant or
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somebody. I don't know. We work on the Google search. Yeah, right. Or
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Google, where I don't know how good our SEO is, but yes,
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some folks will find us that way, but mostly referrals.
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And then after I've done this for 16 years,
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so I have developed my sales
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pitch from, yeah, great. This is a great brand. Let's
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go to. Okay, this is a great brand. However,
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here are the odds, and the odds are
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I did the research many, many moons ago in wines and vines,
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which is a trade. Wow, that's an
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oldie. Yeah, it's an oldie. Yeah, I did. And this was old research,
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but it's held up over the many, many years
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that there's just a lot less activity than people think there is in terms of
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successful sales. It's a lot in a lot of little. All those ducks
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on the water, there's a lot of paddling going on underneath our
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little feedies. But in terms of when you get to the end, when there's a
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transaction that can be announced, that's a lot less common than people
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realize. And in fact, when I did the research, I discovered that, well,
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it's on average, 20 transactions a year, and that's along the whole coast, California,
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Oregon and Washington. It's not a lot as much as people think. And then it's
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about 100 brands that will just go away. So the
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way, so it's five to one. The way most people on five
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to one way most people will get out of the wine business is at some
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point they're like, I'm tired. Kids aren't interested.
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Let's just wind this thing down. And it works because people have
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these tremendous investments in inventory. So if they can just
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basically stop making wine, quietly sell through at normal prices, they
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can get all their investment out of the inventory and be satisfied.
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Chalk it up to a great experience and get some of their investment
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back, if not all or more, excuse
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my. Cough, on what's going on. That's all right. Well, we know already.
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In fact, they just got this huge list. I can't remember the brand.
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I wouldn't mention it anyway, but, uh, somebody just bought a winery.
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It's Napa, it's appalated. And I got a call
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from a random person that actually from my sign maker here in
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Monrovia, the guy that makes my signs when I was busy, when I was in
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business. And he's like, yeah, my buddy just bought this winery
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and would you mind selling off what he has? They said, well, send me
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the list. It was huge. I think it was, I don't know,
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3000 cases or so, distributed among
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probably ten varietals and probably ten vintages. So 100
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cases here, 50 cases there. And I. He didn't want to hear the
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reality. I said, you're going to have to sell this for pennies on the dollar.
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No one's going to take this inventory. Much of it's getting too old, and
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it's in small lots. Nobody really cares about ten cases of your 2012
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merlot. It's not that important. And he was flabbergasted at this
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idea that there's no value here. But particularly
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in today's marketplace, the industry is going through a lot of
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changes. Has that changed your perspective on
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transaction volume? Because the industry is,
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and I'll share with you a conversation I had this morning, but the industry is
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in this learning mode or transition mode.
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Well, we are in it. We have been in it before,
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and it is a cyclical business and
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so is tech. I mean, there are plenty of cyclical businesses.
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So we've been here before, but yeah, we're in a bit of a down cycle.
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It's funny, they're all different. This one is
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affecting the largest, the highest scale
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producers. And so
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it's different. I'm lucky. I tend to work on
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smaller deals. And to be perfectly honest, this is one of these
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downturns that, at least so far, hasn't really affected the
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folks working at the lower end of the scale in terms of their prospects,
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their experience, what's going on, you know, so. But
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no, it's a complicated time. And it's funny, I was just saying the other
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day, hearing this description of this guy who's bought this winery, and there's all
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this obsolete inventory, you know, I hadn't seen that
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in so long, I thought people figured out not to do that, you know.
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You know, your best. There's an expression of finance. Your first
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loss is your best loss. Yeah. Right. And so what tends to happen is people
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in these circumstances where you find, you know, a lot of old inventory, they
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just could not, they did not have the intestinal
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fortitude to say, all right, we've made this vintage. We're
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not going to sell all this vintage in a normal commercial cycle. We'll make the
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balance go away, even if we have to take the loss. So there's that psychological
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barrier that people have, which is completely normal, but it gets
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you, especially in the wine business, it gets you into a ton of
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trouble. I can't tell you how many stories I have,
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but one in particular of somebody that came to me. Wonderful
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spanish couple. She was an anchor for one of the
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foreign language tv things. She was this pretty woman, she was out on the street
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selling wine, and they wanted to bring in some
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albarino. Not the most at that time. At least ten years ago
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wasn't the most popular grape in the world. It's a little more popular today, but
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not to this extent. They asked, you know, how to, how to do it. I
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said, well, let me get you an importer. You bring in, you know, bring in
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a couple of pallets and go sell it, and then we'll see how it goes.
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And they're like, okay, they came back in six months, and they had gone off,
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bonded a warehouse, brought in a full container, which
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for the listeners is 1200 cases or 20 pallets or
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so. And they wanted, let's just say they
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wanted $160 a case wholesaler, you know, puts on the street
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for $20 or so. I said, no, I
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go, it's too expensive for what it is. And you're gonna have a hard time
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selling Alberino here to show. Then they came back in six months. They go, now
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it's 120. I don't think they ever sold through the
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container. Oh. And they just didn't want to listen
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to the logic because it's so romantic and so fun and,
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and we had positive encouragement from the people that tasted it.
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But when it comes to opening the wallet up and having to go sell it,
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when it's not being supported by any other means except your own hand
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sell, it's a tough business.
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And you said it's affecting the larger organizations. And let's say these,
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we know a bunch, right? But when sales
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are off 20% and you've manufactured
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wine to fulfill would have been 20% more than what you
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actually sell. You're sitting on quite a bit. I mean, it doesn't seem like a
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big number, but the margins are so narrow that you just
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chunked up all your profit for almost the rest of the 80%
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by not having a sale for the 20%. Yeah, I
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mean, hopefully the math is, at the higher levels, a little bit
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better. Hopefully the margins are, yeah, 20% doesn't
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take all the margin away. But, but no, I mean, that's the thing.
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If you're doing small volumes, it's a lot easier to make it go away,
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if you need to make it go away than if you're. I think you mentioned
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vintage wine estates, and you
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were, I don't recall where they sort of peaked in terms of
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volume, but, you know, ten. I think that the word
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at the end of last year was it was off 9%, but, you know, the
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shipments and yeah, no,
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9% of a million cases is a lot of wine. That's a lot
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of wine. So we'll talk about that since it's a public company. Yeah. And
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this for the listeners. I mean, I was trying to play with it the other
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day. I couldn't find their market cap, but apparently it was
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somewhere around 210 or $220 million when they came out.
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Only, what, three years ago, four years ago publicly, for the stock
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at $13 a share. And there's quite a
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few public wine companies around, and they were doing
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250 million. So it seems rather stable
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in what might be just considered an unstable industry,
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not on a regular basis, but today the stock was at
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$0.26 yesterday. Well, that
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is an absolute shellacking. And the response
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is to sell off all their direct to consumer
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stuff, which is what they're building as part of their platform to
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go forward, was the direct to consumer. We'll talk a second about
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that. But they're selling off all the stuff they bought along
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the way. Yeah, no, I don't have
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visibility into it, and I'm too busy to pay that much attention.
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I got nothing but time, Carol. Well, sometimes,
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trust me, I have nothing but time. But right now, thank God I'm
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busy, because I'm self employed. But, yeah,
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you know, shortly after they went public,
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there was an announcement that had something had gone wrong in their
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accounting and that the adjustments that were required
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to correct the accounting, I mean, it was
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kind of a perfect storm of problems at the exact wrong time.
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So they,
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and I know Pat, I sold him clopagos back a
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while ago. Did you really do that? Yeah.
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Well, me and Vic Motto, my business partner at the time
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and said, no, I'm a bit, I've known him for years, and
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I know his dedication to direct to consumer. So I'm sure
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if that is what they're doing, kind of offloading the
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DTC, that's rough. But the problem
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is, if they have to sell the DTC
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model is there's a lot less of a market for it
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than the wholesale stuff. So that may be, if that's what they're doing,
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that's why they're doing it. Well, since you were involved with the sale of
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why the month club, and we've saw,
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we consider very fortunate to have found the buyer
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that wants to take advantage of smaller companies like
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ours was. I keep reading on the web and I'm reading all these
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pundits, and maybe you have seen some of this. If people are talking
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about the industry, not only is the DTC side down and
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direct to consumer, for the consumers, for the listeners, is something that you
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buy online, direct, shipped to your house, whether it's from a winery or a third
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party tasting room or club. Yeah, right. Yeah,
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that sales are off. There's too many
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choices. There's, you know, there's a club came
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out last in December called Cheapo. Vino. No, Vino.
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Cheapo. Sorry, I had backwards. Why would you join Vino
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Chippo? But the point is
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that, and I was thinking about this a lot over this
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last couple of months when I started doing this with my
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father, it was truly the opportunity to
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find these odd lots, much like Trader Joe's
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foundation, of how they started the business, where they're finding. And they would
393
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tell you, in the fearless flyer, we bought the last 2000 bottles. And
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so you get it while you can. And wine of the month club was really
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that same outlet for wineries that had made good wines under their
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brands ready to sell. The consumer, you
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know, had to get the stuff off the floor because the next vintage is coming
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in and we would take advantage of that. Well, those, those don't
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exist as much, as nearly as much as anymore because people have learned
400
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better logistics and better manufacturing. And so now what you're
401
00:24:38,260 --> 00:24:42,108
getting for those prices are really bulk wines from middle of Europe
402
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at kind of thing. And the
403
00:24:45,388 --> 00:24:49,188
values doesn't seem to be there anymore. I'm not categorically saying
404
00:24:49,236 --> 00:24:52,964
that. I'm just saying. Right. And you throw into that the mix
405
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of marketing and the ability to send a
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00:24:56,772 --> 00:25:00,252
message immediately. You know, in a second I can get a message to
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all people on Instagram, Facebook, to say, hey, I've got
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00:25:04,140 --> 00:25:07,824
this special deal going on. It's congested, everything.
409
00:25:08,484 --> 00:25:12,148
So when you sell a winery, then, like, how do you
410
00:25:12,196 --> 00:25:15,796
approach this part of this? How do you approach this idea that brand building is
411
00:25:15,820 --> 00:25:19,220
tough? You know, marketing on the web is even harder.
412
00:25:19,332 --> 00:25:23,048
What is it come up even? Well,
413
00:25:23,136 --> 00:25:26,968
you know, you and I had this conversation at one point in time because
414
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I think, you know, I sell, as did you, for all your career. So we
415
00:25:30,824 --> 00:25:34,344
were both salespeople. But
416
00:25:34,464 --> 00:25:38,016
the sale, I said, I think, I said, I don't, I can't sell
417
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snow to the Eskimos. I can sell the Eskimos warm shoes.
418
00:25:41,784 --> 00:25:45,204
And I've recently been told I'm not supposed to use that phrase. So I apologize.
419
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Inuit or native Alaskan.
420
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But anyway, I'm 61. So come on,
421
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give us old people a little grace to adjust. You can say
422
00:25:58,060 --> 00:25:59,704
it. At any rate,
423
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I tell the story in a very straightforward way
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because I'm selling to knowledgeable buyers so I don't have to
425
00:26:09,828 --> 00:26:13,332
put a lot of spin on the ball. If a knowledgeable buyer
426
00:26:13,428 --> 00:26:16,596
is going to be buying what I'm selling, it's because, for
427
00:26:16,620 --> 00:26:19,974
example, they have excess capacity
428
00:26:21,314 --> 00:26:24,970
and they want another brand to kind of fill the capacity or
429
00:26:25,122 --> 00:26:28,562
they want a different varietal.
430
00:26:28,618 --> 00:26:32,018
They're doing well in Cabernet and
431
00:26:32,066 --> 00:26:35,898
they curious about Pinot. Let's buy a pinot brand. So
432
00:26:35,946 --> 00:26:39,650
it's really more top level stuff. I don't get.
433
00:26:39,802 --> 00:26:43,454
That's kind of what sells it is these broad categories and
434
00:26:43,494 --> 00:26:47,062
growth, growth helps. Profitability
435
00:26:47,158 --> 00:26:50,486
is excellent, but not necessary because I
436
00:26:50,510 --> 00:26:54,326
actually, we're selling the top line because our buyers will bring
437
00:26:54,350 --> 00:26:58,110
their own cost structures. So yeah, so
438
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somewhere educated, a buyer. And somebody that
439
00:27:02,734 --> 00:27:06,274
I was talking to, somebody in Europe who sells the villa,
440
00:27:06,734 --> 00:27:10,346
the villa experience the lifestyle of being in Italy in a villa.
441
00:27:10,470 --> 00:27:14,258
And it's probably a different conversation. How do
442
00:27:14,266 --> 00:27:17,970
you parse out or how do you deal with the idea
443
00:27:18,002 --> 00:27:21,266
that a Dow selling for a billion dollars or Schaefer for
444
00:27:21,290 --> 00:27:25,074
$250 million from foreign entities, so to speak,
445
00:27:25,154 --> 00:27:28,374
did that fuel the fire for people to sell
446
00:27:28,834 --> 00:27:32,490
or people that come into it to think that they're going to flip their winery
447
00:27:32,562 --> 00:27:36,350
in 20 years for numbers like that? Yeah, no,
448
00:27:36,382 --> 00:27:39,918
I do think it gets everybody's attention. And if you have a very
449
00:27:39,966 --> 00:27:43,654
successful winery and you point to those transactions
450
00:27:43,694 --> 00:27:47,038
and say, I want what they got. But it is very
451
00:27:47,086 --> 00:27:50,910
much, it's a moment in time for that when deals of that
452
00:27:50,942 --> 00:27:54,510
nature come together and it's not part of the normal
453
00:27:54,542 --> 00:27:58,374
everyday, so you can find the right buyer. One of the things I always
454
00:27:58,414 --> 00:28:02,070
say is that in my line of
455
00:28:02,102 --> 00:28:05,880
work, what you need is a motivated buyer. A
456
00:28:05,912 --> 00:28:09,760
motivated seller will not get you anywhere. You have to find the
457
00:28:09,792 --> 00:28:13,124
motivated buyer. So. Wow, how counterintuitive.
458
00:28:13,504 --> 00:28:17,264
Yes. Always the motivated seller, the real estate guys always have I got a motivated
459
00:28:17,304 --> 00:28:20,872
seller, you know, like, okay, great, so I'll jump in. But a motivated
460
00:28:20,928 --> 00:28:24,524
buyer? Yeah, the headwinds the conversation. What?
461
00:28:24,904 --> 00:28:28,592
Well, it's because, you know, it's difficult to do as you know. I
462
00:28:28,608 --> 00:28:32,230
mean, even though, you know, you had a friendly relationship with the bit
463
00:28:32,312 --> 00:28:35,954
business owner that you were in
464
00:28:36,034 --> 00:28:38,454
discussions with and eventually did a deal with,
465
00:28:39,874 --> 00:28:43,714
you know, there's a lot of hiccups. There's, you know, questions that come up. There's,
466
00:28:43,754 --> 00:28:47,426
you know, issues that have to be overcome in
467
00:28:47,450 --> 00:28:50,294
the due diligence process. And, you know,
468
00:28:51,154 --> 00:28:54,946
it's easy for a buyer to get buyer's remorse and walk away. That's the
469
00:28:54,970 --> 00:28:58,602
easy decision, the hard decision is to go past all
470
00:28:58,658 --> 00:29:02,294
these, all this difficulty and all these hurdles and the
471
00:29:02,334 --> 00:29:05,514
negotiations are complex and sometimes contentious.
472
00:29:06,334 --> 00:29:09,710
The buyer has to get past all that. So your
473
00:29:09,742 --> 00:29:11,834
seller wants to get out. So
474
00:29:13,494 --> 00:29:17,034
they're going to roll with it a lot. Yeah. There you go.
475
00:29:19,814 --> 00:29:23,094
That's it. So are we pitching
476
00:29:23,254 --> 00:29:26,972
EBItda for the listeners? Are we pitching a factor of
477
00:29:27,158 --> 00:29:30,520
the profitability? Are we pitching the brand
478
00:29:30,592 --> 00:29:34,056
placements? I mean, obviously the Dow sale just for the
479
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,284
consumers, the Paso robles based winery, who's
480
00:29:37,664 --> 00:29:41,456
a great story from immigration to America. The two brothers
481
00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:45,284
fled Beirut, shrapnel in their shoulder kind of story,
482
00:29:45,784 --> 00:29:49,296
and sell for a billion dollars. And I think everybody in the industry
483
00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,848
knows that the metrics that didn't conform to the typical
484
00:29:53,016 --> 00:29:56,448
selling metrics and that, you know, one of them would be
485
00:29:56,616 --> 00:30:00,248
a factor times your profitability. Earnings before
486
00:30:00,296 --> 00:30:04,096
income tax is that you talk about those things when you're selling
487
00:30:04,120 --> 00:30:07,936
or they're just ancillary to the piece of property, the vineyards,
488
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,760
the brand. Well, I mean, this gets back to the, you know, I don't believe
489
00:30:11,792 --> 00:30:15,480
I can talk anybody into a multimillion dollar investment.
490
00:30:15,592 --> 00:30:19,122
I think they talk themselves into it. So, you
491
00:30:19,138 --> 00:30:22,970
know, it's got to be what, what they need. And that might be,
492
00:30:23,162 --> 00:30:26,914
I think typically what's going to drive it is growth, for sure, gets everybody's
493
00:30:26,954 --> 00:30:30,794
attention. And I think that's part of the Dow
494
00:30:30,834 --> 00:30:33,854
story. I wasn't involved, don't know anything about it. But I think it was very,
495
00:30:34,434 --> 00:30:37,306
I wish I were you and I would not be talking right now. I'd be
496
00:30:37,330 --> 00:30:41,090
sipping a cocktail with a little umbrella in it on a beach.
497
00:30:41,242 --> 00:30:43,614
That's a dow on the little umbrella. Right.
498
00:30:45,074 --> 00:30:48,294
Instead, I'm still humping wineries.
499
00:30:49,474 --> 00:30:53,242
Now. I love the work. So growth can be a
500
00:30:53,258 --> 00:30:56,014
factor. So yeah, you tell that story. But
501
00:30:57,194 --> 00:31:00,898
profitability, again, it's a nice to have, not a need to have, because the buyers
502
00:31:00,946 --> 00:31:04,650
typically like treasury that bought Dow. It's
503
00:31:04,802 --> 00:31:08,514
going to wipe out all the basic overhead expenses that Dow
504
00:31:08,594 --> 00:31:12,234
was related to, its bottom line, its
505
00:31:12,274 --> 00:31:16,084
net income. True. And then it always depends what
506
00:31:16,124 --> 00:31:19,652
confuses everything and is vineyards. If there are
507
00:31:19,668 --> 00:31:23,476
vineyards in a transaction, I mean, what
508
00:31:23,500 --> 00:31:27,220
is valued by multiples of revenue or EBITDA
509
00:31:27,252 --> 00:31:29,224
or gross profit or whatever
510
00:31:30,924 --> 00:31:34,300
is the brand inventory and
511
00:31:34,412 --> 00:31:37,664
operating assets or the brand inventory. Winery or
512
00:31:38,564 --> 00:31:42,366
the vineyards are valued separately. So that's what can kind of muddy
513
00:31:42,390 --> 00:31:45,486
the waters a little bit. You know, you see this, you know, if something has
514
00:31:45,510 --> 00:31:48,354
a lot of vineyard, and I believe Dow had quite a bit
515
00:31:49,214 --> 00:31:52,054
that could sort of muddy the waters. And people just look at the simple math.
516
00:31:52,094 --> 00:31:55,174
Oh, they got this for that? Well, no, you have to take the value that
517
00:31:55,334 --> 00:31:59,086
the vineyards out of the discussion before you really look at what they
518
00:31:59,110 --> 00:32:02,726
sold it for. So. So you said earlier that we're in
519
00:32:02,750 --> 00:32:06,598
it. We were in it. And I've had this conversation a little bit. One
520
00:32:06,606 --> 00:32:09,486
of the things that bothers me a lot, they see on the, on the, on
521
00:32:09,510 --> 00:32:13,008
the web with some pundits, and at some point, particularly our
522
00:32:13,056 --> 00:32:16,832
complicated historical industry, it's as complicated
523
00:32:16,968 --> 00:32:20,044
and it's got romance and it's historical
524
00:32:21,064 --> 00:32:24,400
that people coming into the fray of this industry
525
00:32:24,472 --> 00:32:28,160
that don't know all the history, that don't understand it, but
526
00:32:28,192 --> 00:32:31,672
learn something new or see something in the industry, and they say, oh, you know,
527
00:32:31,688 --> 00:32:34,312
it's ready for change. It's ready for innovation. It's ready for this, ready for that.
528
00:32:34,328 --> 00:32:37,648
It's like you don't even know. You don't even know what that means. And I
529
00:32:37,656 --> 00:32:41,280
was. I've been trying to figure out what innovation means in our
530
00:32:41,312 --> 00:32:45,088
industry right now. Is there such a thing? Do you have any idea what they're
531
00:32:45,136 --> 00:32:48,080
talking about? Does it make sense? Do you mean disruption? Are you trying to say
532
00:32:48,112 --> 00:32:51,816
disruption? Oh, disruption, too. That's a good favorite.
533
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,440
You know, it's this thing that everybody sounds very fancy and high
534
00:32:55,472 --> 00:32:58,984
flying and techie. Folks like to use it. I don't know where it came from,
535
00:32:59,024 --> 00:33:02,776
but disrupting. Nobody's going to disrupt a multi. I mean, you know more
536
00:33:02,800 --> 00:33:06,054
than anybody else how long the history of the wine industry
537
00:33:06,134 --> 00:33:09,454
is. And so sort of, it's. The
538
00:33:09,494 --> 00:33:13,150
disruptability of this industry is probably
539
00:33:13,262 --> 00:33:17,038
limited. Yeah, but, yes, of course.
540
00:33:17,086 --> 00:33:20,834
I mean, new innovations. And I was talking to.
541
00:33:21,494 --> 00:33:25,238
Hey, everybody, can I plug my podcast? Yes, please. Do I have a
542
00:33:25,246 --> 00:33:28,846
podcast? It's called small fortune. It's about the business of wine. And I was
543
00:33:28,870 --> 00:33:32,574
speaking with Alex Sokol Blosser. Do you know the Sokol blosser brand
544
00:33:32,614 --> 00:33:36,274
of Oregon? Yeah, yeah, of course.
545
00:33:36,314 --> 00:33:39,946
So he was talking, everybody in the industry is talking about
546
00:33:40,050 --> 00:33:43,330
this little moment we're
547
00:33:43,362 --> 00:33:47,090
in. And he said that it reminded him not of the
548
00:33:47,122 --> 00:33:50,534
08910 that was driven by the financial crisis, but
549
00:33:50,994 --> 00:33:54,794
by some, possibly some real changes
550
00:33:54,834 --> 00:33:58,226
going on in consumption. And he said
551
00:33:58,330 --> 00:34:01,746
that his recollection, the family's experience, was at a point in the
552
00:34:01,770 --> 00:34:05,202
nineties, there was this sort of sliding, sliding
553
00:34:05,258 --> 00:34:08,938
consumption, and then it got reversed by, at the time, the french paradox
554
00:34:08,986 --> 00:34:12,746
story. Right. Oh, it turns out it's healthy for you. And so
555
00:34:12,770 --> 00:34:15,698
we're kind of a bit. It may be the case that we're in a bit
556
00:34:15,706 --> 00:34:18,834
of a slide for a variety of reasons, in terms in demand, and that, of
557
00:34:18,874 --> 00:34:22,498
course, is going to shake out. It's a shrinking pie. It's probably
558
00:34:22,546 --> 00:34:25,654
shrinking pie for a minute, and then it's
559
00:34:26,474 --> 00:34:30,003
somehow or other we're going to. And maybe, to your point,
560
00:34:30,193 --> 00:34:33,919
maybe instead of waiting for a miracle, like the french
561
00:34:33,951 --> 00:34:37,203
paradox, you can't control. Or COVID.
562
00:34:37,703 --> 00:34:41,535
Or COVID, which, I mean, if, you know, some people were
563
00:34:41,559 --> 00:34:45,335
hurt, but many did great. At
564
00:34:45,359 --> 00:34:49,111
any rate, maybe we'll find some way to
565
00:34:49,247 --> 00:34:53,023
disrupt that trend and maybe some innovator
566
00:34:53,063 --> 00:34:56,675
will come in. But for the most part, you know, it's a
567
00:34:56,699 --> 00:35:00,331
multi thousand year industry, so, yeah, we'll be all right.
568
00:35:00,507 --> 00:35:03,019
I don't get it. Yeah, I mean, it's going to ebb and flow on its
569
00:35:03,051 --> 00:35:06,451
own and, yes, zero eight and zero nine was a bad year for the wine
570
00:35:06,467 --> 00:35:10,211
of the month club. The worst year I'd had up until that point. We kind
571
00:35:10,227 --> 00:35:14,059
of broke even, and that was purely financial. The people weren't
572
00:35:14,091 --> 00:35:17,691
buying, they just didn't have the means. Now, it's a much more complicated
573
00:35:17,747 --> 00:35:21,475
problem, and not the least of which is, you know, Internet marketing and all the
574
00:35:21,499 --> 00:35:25,164
things, all the messaging that people are waiting. I tell people when I consult
575
00:35:25,204 --> 00:35:28,700
with them, you have to understand, you're not competing against other wine
576
00:35:28,732 --> 00:35:32,412
companies. When you're socially marketing on the Internet, either Google
577
00:35:32,468 --> 00:35:35,860
or Facebook, Instagram, etcetera, you're up against Kim
578
00:35:35,892 --> 00:35:39,580
Kardashian and the rest of the influences of the world. They're taking their
579
00:35:39,612 --> 00:35:41,944
eyes away from what you want to tell them.
580
00:35:43,124 --> 00:35:46,940
But I think this is such a slow moving industry.
581
00:35:47,092 --> 00:35:50,846
You only get one chance a year to make the product. It's
582
00:35:50,870 --> 00:35:54,510
got a life cycle to it. It doesn't last forever, as explained by
583
00:35:54,542 --> 00:35:57,830
the dumping of all these wines that I saw the other day.
584
00:35:57,982 --> 00:36:01,514
So it's tied to a lot of other factors that
585
00:36:01,974 --> 00:36:05,702
we can't control. And to say you're going to disrupt it,
586
00:36:05,798 --> 00:36:09,342
or that it needs innovation. I mean, what does
587
00:36:09,358 --> 00:36:13,006
innovation mean? That we have an augmented reality label where some
588
00:36:13,070 --> 00:36:16,478
prisoner tells a story? I mean, that's not innovation, that's just
589
00:36:16,566 --> 00:36:20,194
packaging. That's. Yeah, and that's. That part also sort of
590
00:36:20,934 --> 00:36:24,554
gets under my skin a little bit. But, you know, packaging is not, in itself,
591
00:36:25,014 --> 00:36:28,846
diversification of the product. Right. The product is still what
592
00:36:28,870 --> 00:36:32,670
it was 10,000 years ago. Tastes a little
593
00:36:32,702 --> 00:36:36,366
better, hopefully. Actually, I just read somewhere that the roman
594
00:36:36,470 --> 00:36:40,134
wines in their amphora actually are probably pretty good. Yeah, I saw
595
00:36:40,174 --> 00:36:42,918
that. So they did some kind of test and came away going, you know what?
596
00:36:42,966 --> 00:36:44,514
These guys knew what they were doing.
597
00:36:48,114 --> 00:36:51,842
But that's the part that's interesting to me. I guess I just had
598
00:36:51,858 --> 00:36:55,162
a really interesting conversation with a woman. She's going to be on the show and
599
00:36:55,178 --> 00:36:58,642
she's coming up with a new product. She's raising a lot of money to develop
600
00:36:58,698 --> 00:37:01,626
this new product. And I looked at it and I go, you know, it's interesting,
601
00:37:01,690 --> 00:37:05,506
but, man, to throw all your chips in a basket like that and think
602
00:37:05,530 --> 00:37:08,538
that we're going to come up with a new method. I'm not a new method.
603
00:37:08,626 --> 00:37:11,884
A new fermented grape juice
604
00:37:12,384 --> 00:37:15,284
that's going to change the way the world looks at
605
00:37:15,584 --> 00:37:19,384
wine. I just, I just don't see how that, how
606
00:37:19,544 --> 00:37:23,240
that works. God bless everybody who
607
00:37:23,272 --> 00:37:26,840
takes a big swing, right? That's kind of what my,
608
00:37:26,912 --> 00:37:30,480
my podcast is. You need to know that. Yeah, entrepreneurship, you know,
609
00:37:30,512 --> 00:37:34,224
and I worked with business owners my whole career, and I have
610
00:37:34,384 --> 00:37:38,224
great respect for those, you know, taking these big swings and, you know,
611
00:37:38,264 --> 00:37:42,106
sometimes, sometimes it works like the. Is it was
612
00:37:42,130 --> 00:37:45,794
it, Underwood was the brand up in Oregon that really kind of took, said, oh,
613
00:37:45,834 --> 00:37:48,494
we're going to put wine in cans, and everybody's like, what?
614
00:37:49,514 --> 00:37:53,298
And off it went. And of course, that settled out for a variety of reasons.
615
00:37:53,346 --> 00:37:57,010
But so, you know, there's, there's still innovation to be had.
616
00:37:57,082 --> 00:38:00,174
I, you know, you joined my podcast,
617
00:38:01,274 --> 00:38:04,266
wine talks listeners. If you want to hear what he had to say on my
618
00:38:04,290 --> 00:38:07,960
podcast, go, go look for it. One of the things that I came
619
00:38:07,992 --> 00:38:11,672
away from that conversation with is that it may be the case,
620
00:38:11,728 --> 00:38:14,912
at least on the selling side. Right to your point, you know, you're consulting with
621
00:38:14,928 --> 00:38:18,264
people on social media. It's a very complex and
622
00:38:18,424 --> 00:38:22,096
frankly, degenerating medium as we speak. You know, in terms of the
623
00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:25,684
crowding and the. Anyway, it's just a lot of noise.
624
00:38:26,304 --> 00:38:30,136
I came away wondering if it's time to go back to basics. Right. You talked
625
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:33,902
about your dad and you building the business through
626
00:38:33,998 --> 00:38:35,874
person to person contacts
627
00:38:37,254 --> 00:38:40,774
at various shows throughout the country.
628
00:38:40,854 --> 00:38:44,446
And maybe it's time to go back to more person to
629
00:38:44,470 --> 00:38:48,054
person stuff, then maybe set the
630
00:38:48,094 --> 00:38:51,514
social media side a bit, or at least do both.
631
00:38:52,494 --> 00:38:56,006
I think that's entirely accurate. And I've had a lot of
632
00:38:56,190 --> 00:38:59,908
head nodding on that when I bring it up. And that is, I
633
00:38:59,916 --> 00:39:03,204
don't think that the value of the glass of wine ever will
634
00:39:03,244 --> 00:39:06,924
change as it sits on your dinner table. It's
635
00:39:06,964 --> 00:39:10,660
always going to have that ethereal value, what you drink is up to you.
636
00:39:10,692 --> 00:39:14,420
But the idea that you're drinking it when you drink it, is the experience
637
00:39:14,532 --> 00:39:18,144
that you're hoping for. And I often, during the day,
638
00:39:19,004 --> 00:39:22,628
not dream of, but look forward to something
639
00:39:22,676 --> 00:39:26,438
in particular. I might be looking, granted, we do this every day, so I'm in
640
00:39:26,446 --> 00:39:30,046
the business. So people probably don't have this experience all the time, but they certainly
641
00:39:30,070 --> 00:39:32,526
have the experience of saying, I can't wait to get home, I have a glass
642
00:39:32,550 --> 00:39:36,118
of wine. Yeah. Now I go home. I can't wait to have a burgundy or
643
00:39:36,126 --> 00:39:38,958
a burdo or whatever, but that's. A little bit more la di da. At the
644
00:39:38,966 --> 00:39:42,646
same time, you know, you still feel like, I can't wait for that
645
00:39:42,670 --> 00:39:46,390
to happen. And there's not too many beverages like that. And
646
00:39:46,422 --> 00:39:50,166
I think that experiential part of wine is what you're, what you're
647
00:39:50,190 --> 00:39:53,860
talking about going back to those. It's funny you said that,
648
00:39:53,892 --> 00:39:57,700
because the woman I was talking to this morning, not only is she releasing a
649
00:39:57,732 --> 00:40:01,316
brand, it's coming with this destination in
650
00:40:01,340 --> 00:40:04,184
Italy. Oh. So it's part of
651
00:40:04,924 --> 00:40:08,692
the money she raises not only to launch the brand, but it's to launch a
652
00:40:08,708 --> 00:40:12,468
facility to go visit and to hang out and be part of
653
00:40:12,476 --> 00:40:15,824
it. And I think that has a chance because
654
00:40:16,644 --> 00:40:20,332
until you, till you have a reason to drink something
655
00:40:20,388 --> 00:40:23,972
or see something or you feel something from going to Napa and having a
656
00:40:23,988 --> 00:40:27,836
tasting room experience and going home. Why do you think wine clubs from the
657
00:40:27,860 --> 00:40:31,704
wine, the winery side of things are so popular and so,
658
00:40:32,364 --> 00:40:35,852
so much an important part of the revenue stream of a
659
00:40:35,868 --> 00:40:39,524
winery, because I went to the winery and I was with
660
00:40:39,564 --> 00:40:43,236
my girlfriend, boyfriend, whatever. Right. And I had this glass of wine and
661
00:40:43,260 --> 00:40:47,084
we shared it. And now I joined the club. And every time I get that
662
00:40:47,124 --> 00:40:50,560
box, it reminds me of that moment. Yep,
663
00:40:50,752 --> 00:40:54,484
that's it. Yeah. That's tasting rooms and your sales.
664
00:40:54,824 --> 00:40:58,480
Most of the, do most wineries have tasting rooms? Most, but
665
00:40:58,512 --> 00:41:02,128
not all. Yeah. Most wineries will have a retail presence, but, but
666
00:41:02,256 --> 00:41:05,976
not all. But, yeah, no, that's a thing. And interesting. I read
667
00:41:06,000 --> 00:41:09,456
in the trade, some trade publication that there's Lawrence wine
668
00:41:09,480 --> 00:41:12,944
estates, they bought Heights and Stony
669
00:41:13,024 --> 00:41:16,864
Hill and et cetera, et cetera. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
670
00:41:16,904 --> 00:41:20,486
yeah. Kajing recently now. Yeah. Over the last couple of years now as a
671
00:41:20,510 --> 00:41:24,094
fellow, he's a big, successful
672
00:41:24,254 --> 00:41:27,654
ag, industry investor, and he
673
00:41:27,734 --> 00:41:31,534
got involved and has acquired a number of things. But they
674
00:41:31,574 --> 00:41:35,234
recently announced they're going to have some very high level club
675
00:41:35,854 --> 00:41:39,606
like they have in the big cities in San
676
00:41:39,630 --> 00:41:43,374
Francisco, New York, they're the private clubs of some sort, and that they're
677
00:41:43,414 --> 00:41:46,714
going to create that private club experience for their
678
00:41:47,534 --> 00:41:50,486
people who they're going to let in, and then they're going to pour all these
679
00:41:50,510 --> 00:41:54,054
fantastic wines and, you know, so that's an innovation. I mean, that's an interesting
680
00:41:54,094 --> 00:41:57,846
concept that hasn't been tried before. So, you know,
681
00:41:57,870 --> 00:42:01,006
I hope that it works for them. And then, you know, maybe there'll be one
682
00:42:01,030 --> 00:42:04,422
or two more. You can't have too many fancy private clubs in
683
00:42:04,438 --> 00:42:07,862
a, you know, a two horse town like Napa. I mean,
684
00:42:07,998 --> 00:42:11,838
look, I love Napa, but come on, it's, it's. It's really
685
00:42:11,886 --> 00:42:13,834
a small. John Charles.
686
00:42:15,764 --> 00:42:18,824
Yeah. Yeah. He's another reliable
687
00:42:19,444 --> 00:42:22,784
innovator and acquirer in the industry. He's great.
688
00:42:23,444 --> 00:42:26,820
I did have a conversation with a guy who started a club, but it's more
689
00:42:26,852 --> 00:42:30,100
than just the club. He has
690
00:42:30,132 --> 00:42:33,908
relationships throughout the world. And so you get a chance to
691
00:42:33,956 --> 00:42:37,024
make your wine and you pick the location.
692
00:42:37,644 --> 00:42:41,396
I forgot how much it was. I didn't think it was that exorbitant, considering
693
00:42:41,420 --> 00:42:45,092
that you are literally, you know, hands on part of the winemaking
694
00:42:45,148 --> 00:42:48,548
process of your preferred location in the world. Could be Italy or France,
695
00:42:48,676 --> 00:42:52,364
Bordeaux, Burgundy, whatever. And I thought, okay, that's kind of a cool
696
00:42:52,404 --> 00:42:56,100
experience. Logistical nightmare, but
697
00:42:56,252 --> 00:42:59,884
an interesting aspect of it. Well, the banker in me is like, yeah, great
698
00:42:59,924 --> 00:43:03,420
idea. How are you going to make money? I mean, God bless them. I,
699
00:43:03,612 --> 00:43:07,060
again, taking big swings. Keep, keep doing
700
00:43:07,092 --> 00:43:10,860
it. Sometimes they connect with some
701
00:43:10,892 --> 00:43:13,984
wood and off you go. So let me get colloquial. So
702
00:43:14,884 --> 00:43:18,412
is it true if you want to make a billion dollars in the wine business,
703
00:43:18,468 --> 00:43:21,344
I mean, a million dollars in the wine business. Start with a billion.
704
00:43:21,804 --> 00:43:25,252
Well, no, it ain't that bad, but you may
705
00:43:25,308 --> 00:43:29,028
shave. You might shave a zero off if you. That was a Kevin O'Leary comment,
706
00:43:29,076 --> 00:43:32,612
which everybody knows, of course, that we. That we. Well, I mean, that's the, that's
707
00:43:32,628 --> 00:43:35,588
why my podcast is called small fortune because it's this old joke, you know, what
708
00:43:35,596 --> 00:43:38,588
does it take to make a small fortune in the wine business with a large
709
00:43:38,636 --> 00:43:42,356
fortune? So that's a common. Right now you're working on a
710
00:43:42,380 --> 00:43:45,836
project? Yeah, I've got a couple. Yeah, I'm working on a few
711
00:43:45,860 --> 00:43:49,620
things. Yep. So exciting. Yeah. No, I'm glad. I mean,
712
00:43:49,652 --> 00:43:53,388
all but one of them are at the lower level in terms of the
713
00:43:53,476 --> 00:43:56,964
prospective buyers. So it's the one that I have to talk to the big boys
714
00:43:57,004 --> 00:43:59,904
about because of the scale of the project,
715
00:44:00,604 --> 00:44:04,260
you know, that one's a bit of a question mark just because there's just
716
00:44:04,292 --> 00:44:08,014
so much froth, but it's an excellent asset,
717
00:44:08,054 --> 00:44:11,246
so I'm sure we'll find a home for it. And the
718
00:44:11,270 --> 00:44:14,646
fires, recovery from the fires in Napa, have you seen
719
00:44:14,830 --> 00:44:17,474
activity from that or growth or.
720
00:44:19,854 --> 00:44:23,638
Daddle, at least at the vineyard
721
00:44:23,686 --> 00:44:27,406
level? The vineyards did fine. There have been wineries that have had to be
722
00:44:27,430 --> 00:44:31,118
replaced. The day to day of the business
723
00:44:31,206 --> 00:44:35,006
has not been affected by it, except for nobody in Napa Valley had a
724
00:44:35,070 --> 00:44:38,578
2020 cabernet. So it was a huge
725
00:44:38,666 --> 00:44:42,346
challenge from that standpoint. I
726
00:44:42,370 --> 00:44:45,842
think that going forward, the challenge is going to be insurance.
727
00:44:46,018 --> 00:44:49,786
And that's a national, across all industries
728
00:44:49,890 --> 00:44:53,002
and individuals. Problems in
729
00:44:53,018 --> 00:44:56,866
California? Yeah, well, everywhere. I mean, there's. Nobody is
730
00:44:56,890 --> 00:44:59,094
safe from fires and floods anymore.
731
00:45:00,714 --> 00:45:04,344
But, yeah, I think the insurance
732
00:45:04,504 --> 00:45:08,080
has to be figured out. They're talking about 2023,
733
00:45:08,112 --> 00:45:11,832
and I sort of say it's tongue in cheek, because maybe
734
00:45:11,848 --> 00:45:15,648
it's just pr, but they're saying 2023 in Napa is going
735
00:45:15,656 --> 00:45:19,408
to be one of the most incredible vintages worldwide for wine,
736
00:45:19,456 --> 00:45:23,256
period. The quality and the level and the sophistication, the complexity
737
00:45:23,280 --> 00:45:26,976
of the wines from 2023 are going to rival the best
738
00:45:27,000 --> 00:45:30,704
vintages of Bordeaux or Burgundy or whatever. Well, it wouldn't be great.
739
00:45:31,204 --> 00:45:35,020
I have not heard that. I, you know, I operate at the
740
00:45:35,212 --> 00:45:37,744
numbers level, not the tasting level.
741
00:45:39,124 --> 00:45:42,228
We got to break you out. We got to get to. One of these days,
742
00:45:42,276 --> 00:45:45,524
I swear, I'll learn how to. How to taste. I mean, I enjoy it. Of
743
00:45:45,564 --> 00:45:49,380
course. I'm not a complete dummy, but. But, no, no, I hadn't heard that,
744
00:45:49,412 --> 00:45:53,180
and I'm glad to hear it. I remember going to the Napa Valley barrel auction.
745
00:45:53,212 --> 00:45:56,972
It's the one Napa Valley auction event I go to because it's locals and owners.
746
00:45:57,028 --> 00:46:00,798
It's a little bit better from a business perspective, which is
747
00:46:00,806 --> 00:46:04,390
why I'm going. And I remember, not last year, must have been the year before
748
00:46:04,582 --> 00:46:08,222
walking in, kind of. I think it was 22. And I'm like, why are
749
00:46:08,238 --> 00:46:11,974
there 21 cabs here in this barrel tasting? I don't get it.
750
00:46:12,054 --> 00:46:15,750
I forgot, you know, they didn't have a vintage, you know,
751
00:46:15,782 --> 00:46:19,390
in 2020. So if we can have a 2023
752
00:46:19,502 --> 00:46:23,174
for which there's incredible demand and people can take a little price,
753
00:46:23,254 --> 00:46:26,526
yay. I mean, that'd be great. I guess I should have bought those two pallets
754
00:46:26,550 --> 00:46:29,674
of 2020 Cabernet from the. Oh,
755
00:46:30,654 --> 00:46:33,734
I don't know if it was coming your way. It was probably smoke tainted. I
756
00:46:33,734 --> 00:46:37,478
don't know. Who knows what's going on out there? Well,
757
00:46:37,526 --> 00:46:41,310
we're almost. We're actually out of time, which is unbelievable. Okay, well, good.
758
00:46:41,382 --> 00:46:45,126
Edit. Edit out that, my dumb eskimo comment. I can do that if
759
00:46:45,150 --> 00:46:47,754
you want. I don't care. It's up to you.
760
00:46:49,454 --> 00:46:53,246
Fascinating conversation. We have more to talk about when we read. We do
761
00:46:53,270 --> 00:46:56,742
this again, and we got flip side of some of these deals and want to
762
00:46:56,758 --> 00:47:00,448
peel them back a little more, a little more granular without mentioning
763
00:47:00,496 --> 00:47:03,960
names, just so people understand, you know,
764
00:47:03,992 --> 00:47:07,204
the emaciations of doing this,
765
00:47:07,824 --> 00:47:11,360
because, you know, it's interesting industry. It's not just marketing stuff like my
766
00:47:11,432 --> 00:47:14,920
niece is starting, and she wanted to start a salad dressing
767
00:47:14,952 --> 00:47:18,576
company. She's 19. She's produced.
768
00:47:18,720 --> 00:47:22,244
She's produced it. She's gone through the whole rigmarole of food
769
00:47:23,504 --> 00:47:27,252
science and the packaging, which is interesting just
770
00:47:27,308 --> 00:47:31,084
to highlight something. The packaging
771
00:47:31,124 --> 00:47:34,884
that they got sent to the co packer when they were putting the salad dressing
772
00:47:34,924 --> 00:47:38,740
finally in these pouches, they're single served pouches. It was
773
00:47:38,772 --> 00:47:42,420
determined later that the wrong food grade lining had
774
00:47:42,452 --> 00:47:46,180
been used, and so the acids in the salad
775
00:47:46,212 --> 00:47:49,868
dressing had eaten away, so they had to repackage them. And I thought for a
776
00:47:49,876 --> 00:47:53,418
moment, you know, it's interesting because right now they don't have a food grade
777
00:47:53,466 --> 00:47:57,050
lining for wine cans that can last more than
778
00:47:57,082 --> 00:48:00,778
nine, six to nine months. And it's. I.
779
00:48:00,906 --> 00:48:03,562
So now we're getting to. And I was talking about the moving parts of the
780
00:48:03,578 --> 00:48:07,290
wine business. That's a moving part, too. You know, we're not just talking about selling
781
00:48:07,322 --> 00:48:09,874
wine like you want to put in a can. Uh, you better make sure you
782
00:48:09,874 --> 00:48:13,450
have the freight food grade lining, because that it's gonna be worthless in so many
783
00:48:13,562 --> 00:48:17,170
months. And the same food grade lining that
784
00:48:17,202 --> 00:48:20,704
lines a Coke cannot. Wine. Wine can.
785
00:48:21,084 --> 00:48:24,868
Yeah, no, I saw it different. Yeah, I know that they're trying to
786
00:48:24,876 --> 00:48:28,564
figure that out. Yeah. Too many pieces. So it's not just
787
00:48:28,604 --> 00:48:31,772
like I'm going to be in the wine business. I'm a brand and I'm. I
788
00:48:31,788 --> 00:48:34,644
have friend of my house. We're going to look at the Vista over Napa Valley
789
00:48:34,724 --> 00:48:36,704
floor and look at John Charles property.
790
00:48:39,764 --> 00:48:43,452
Yeah, no, it's. It's a lot of work and it's a lot of decisions,
791
00:48:43,508 --> 00:48:47,272
and it's. But it's fun. It is fun.
792
00:48:47,408 --> 00:48:51,104
That's the part that, that brings you back is it's fun. It's like that
793
00:48:51,224 --> 00:48:54,272
really clean golf shot. I'm going to come back because I think I can do
794
00:48:54,288 --> 00:48:58,104
it again. Such a pleasure to see you. Next vintage. Yeah.
795
00:48:58,144 --> 00:49:01,152
Great to see you. Say hi to Sandra. I will do that. And thank you
796
00:49:01,168 --> 00:49:04,144
for being on the show. And we'll send you all the credentials when it's ready.
797
00:49:04,184 --> 00:49:07,944
But fabulous conversation. Thanks for having
798
00:49:07,984 --> 00:49:08,564
me.
799
00:49:17,024 --> 00:49:20,400
Thank you for listening to wine talks with Paul Callum, Cary. And don't forget to
800
00:49:20,432 --> 00:49:23,584
subscribe because there's more great interviews on their way.
801
00:49:23,744 --> 00:49:27,064
Folks, have a great time out there in the wine world. Cheers.